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nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree about. >> again, if you believe the turn-out miles that most poll show, obama would win by 300. five states. >> yeah. >> colorado, iowa, virginia, ohio, new hampshire. otherwise we agree. when we're forced to -- >> wrap up with this. we do this ipad app. >> so we want to pick some closest. the closeest to karl is mark alcott who had the same map. if you put it up, we will send mark something. what are we sending anymore >> out graphed copy of my book. >> okay. there you go. >> i'm sending one to him, too. closest to joe's map is alex tomp kins. >> he agrees with me on e
nevada, i put it in the democratic column. a tossup. there it is. >> these were the rules. >> exactly. but you made the rules. owe didn't deliver your o map. >> 285 for romney 253 for obama. romney carries mccain state and florida. i thinkness and wisconsin, potential pennsylvania are knife's edge states. inness, up for nevada. >> i think significantly and we have, there are true tossups we can argue. we agree on 46 states. roughly. there are only four states we disagree...
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Nov 7, 2012
11/12
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the whole time you have snow up in the sierra nevada. definitely a, you know, kind of a wild weather patternen considering how warm it's been. friday forecast looks like this. you have showers developing on thursday. certainly cooler and as you head toward the weekend, the sun comes out. but it's still kind of cool. >>> we're just 15 minutes away from more election day coverage. polls are about to close in florida and new hampshire. >> we are results from virginia. mitt romney in the lead with 1% reporting. 59% of the vote for romney. 41% for president obama. this is a crucial state and whoever wins this, it will be a key indicators in how this evening is going to go. more election coverage coming up after the break. meningococcal meningitis, a rare but serious disease. health officials recommend vaccination. go to voicesofmeningitis.org. >>> some dogs and cats waiting for adoption in the east bay are trading up when it comes to their temporary homes. we went inside the new state of the art animal shelter and why it took so long to build
the whole time you have snow up in the sierra nevada. definitely a, you know, kind of a wild weather patternen considering how warm it's been. friday forecast looks like this. you have showers developing on thursday. certainly cooler and as you head toward the weekend, the sun comes out. but it's still kind of cool. >>> we're just 15 minutes away from more election day coverage. polls are about to close in florida and new hampshire. >> we are results from virginia. mitt romney in...
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one, the hispanic turnout, the number of hispanic voters as resin and nevada. roughly 1 million registered to vote. right now the president going into the election was leading anywhere from one to two points, but the republicans are saying get out the vote is crucial. on election day detention of more than democrats. neil: just a minute or so away from some of the 9:00 p.m. closing states. michigan we will watch closely. a key romney surrogate. cke restaurant ceo. always amazing. but very big in the food industry. kind of traveling deeply on that level. it's getting loud there. what is the mood? >> the mood is very, very upbeat. we just had a report from the war room. we have long lines in the republican counties in virginia. we feel good about florida. ohio, the reports coming out of ohio were good. three key states. very, very upbeat. people are nervous. people feel very good about the chances in this election, and things a looking difference. neil: is doing very well with independence and his base, but there is ethier that some of his supporters have express
one, the hispanic turnout, the number of hispanic voters as resin and nevada. roughly 1 million registered to vote. right now the president going into the election was leading anywhere from one to two points, but the republicans are saying get out the vote is crucial. on election day detention of more than democrats. neil: just a minute or so away from some of the 9:00 p.m. closing states. michigan we will watch closely. a key romney surrogate. cke restaurant ceo. always amazing. but very big...
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Nov 4, 2012
11/12
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WBFF
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who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we are doing plenty well and well enough to win the race. >> chris: let me ask you, briefly, about florida, where president obama is down by more than a point, in the polls. and yet you are making your final advertising by the campaign there. in florida. why not in the state you must win? >> well, first of all, we feel very competitive in the state of florida. there have been a spate of polls, in fact in all of these polls, battle ground state polls that came out the last 48 hours, we are ahead in 90% of them, including florida. and there were a couple of mixed polls in florida, but we are very pleased
who is actually showing up, who is casting ballots, and, states like ohio, iowa, nevada, florida, we're doing very, very well. what they are doing is comparing this to 2008, and you and i have had the discussion. i am not suggesting we will win by the same margin we won in 2008. and, they are comparing themselves to john mccain, who had virtually no ground operation in many of these states, so, yes, they will do better than john mccain did and we may not do as well as we did in 2008, but, we...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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same with nevada. areas of ohio look clear, too. there's talk of the nor'easter heading through the mid atlantic and off the east coast. it doesn't look to be a horrible storm. regardless fshl regardless, power outages in, we will see a chance of showers out there. but precip amounts should be very light. everything looks good, lynn, pretty much across the country for election day. couldn't ask for anything much better. >> bill, thanks so much. >>> in addition to the white house werks v, we'll take a look at the hotly contested senate races. plus let's go back to nbc's democracy plaza right here at the heart of rockefeller center. you can also check us out on the web at nbcnews.com. you're watching "early today." ♪ ♪ >>> a look there for you. bruce springsteen performing at an obama campaign event last night in columbus, ohio. speaking of the boss, it was in his home state of new jersey where officials are making sure voters can cast their ballots despite the devastation from hurricane sandy. voters whose polling places were flo
same with nevada. areas of ohio look clear, too. there's talk of the nor'easter heading through the mid atlantic and off the east coast. it doesn't look to be a horrible storm. regardless fshl regardless, power outages in, we will see a chance of showers out there. but precip amounts should be very light. everything looks good, lynn, pretty much across the country for election day. couldn't ask for anything much better. >> bill, thanks so much. >>> in addition to the white house...
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let's look at nevada. it has the highest unemployment rate of the so-called tossup states. 11.8%. colorado's much closer to the national average. it's at 8%. the national average is 7.9%. here in iowa, it's lower. florida, much higher, 8.7%. but iowa has one of the lowest jobless rates in the country. it has for some time, 5.2%. they actually have a problem finding workers. let's go back to iowa where mitt romney is speaking. >> i know most of you here have decided who you're voting for in three more days. but you have some neighbors who haven't made up their minds yet. and so i want to make sure that i give you all the arguments you need to make sure that you convince some of them to come vote for our team. paw rye paul ryan and i want to bring real change to america. so some folks are putting aside the demands of daily life and focusing on this campaign. they want to know what the future is going to hold depending on who becomes the next president. who's going to affect their life and their family's life and who is going to affect the country in the way it will make the greatest
let's look at nevada. it has the highest unemployment rate of the so-called tossup states. 11.8%. colorado's much closer to the national average. it's at 8%. the national average is 7.9%. here in iowa, it's lower. florida, much higher, 8.7%. but iowa has one of the lowest jobless rates in the country. it has for some time, 5.2%. they actually have a problem finding workers. let's go back to iowa where mitt romney is speaking. >> i know most of you here have decided who you're voting for...
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Nov 7, 2012
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the state of nevada. we're not making that projectioning yet of a winner but we believe it is likely that the president will win that state. anna western certificate in nevada tonight, anna? >> reporter: well, scott, you've seen an influx of hispanics into nevada in recent years, along with other minority group, african-americans and asians. but the latino vote is now roughly 15% of the total. and it's considered critical here. it's also part of the democratic get out the vote campaign here which has resulted in 9 o-- 90,000 more registered democrats than republicans. we just talked to secretary of state ross miller and he expects results will start being released here in the next 20 minutes or so. he said they have had no major problems here. but he said that the influx of hispanicsnd minorities here has made a big difference on the ground here. so we can be watching that as we continue to watch the results come in here. and he says they've had no major problems, no long lines and he expects they should
the state of nevada. we're not making that projectioning yet of a winner but we believe it is likely that the president will win that state. anna western certificate in nevada tonight, anna? >> reporter: well, scott, you've seen an influx of hispanics into nevada in recent years, along with other minority group, african-americans and asians. but the latino vote is now roughly 15% of the total. and it's considered critical here. it's also part of the democratic get out the vote campaign...
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it is worth noting that there was a plan for mitt romney to go to nevada and that has been knocked off the agenda. in part because it is a longer flight out there and we are going to colorado so it would not be thatcy but it is a sign that mitt romney sees the polls shifting to obama in nevada and not mitt romney. pennsylvania, he is going, and wisconsin we are there, where the polls have narrowed and wisconsin because of paul ryan's addition to the ticket. that is a state they did not expect to have a shot. pennsylvania is a key player if you believe their calendar and spending and decision to go there. it would potentially help out if it went wrong in ohio, the romney campaign still says they are confident they can pull it off in ohio but recognize that president obama got steam there the last couple of days, so, pennsylvania could be part of a replacement strategy combined, perhaps, with ohio and colorado. ohio is always central to the victory central joy and he is doing a lot of scrambling and it could be a contingency plan but when the polls get this close with a lot of money lyin
it is worth noting that there was a plan for mitt romney to go to nevada and that has been knocked off the agenda. in part because it is a longer flight out there and we are going to colorado so it would not be thatcy but it is a sign that mitt romney sees the polls shifting to obama in nevada and not mitt romney. pennsylvania, he is going, and wisconsin we are there, where the polls have narrowed and wisconsin because of paul ryan's addition to the ticket. that is a state they did not expect...
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Nov 1, 2012
11/12
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president obama started in nevada. he picked up a big endorsement from new york mayor michael bloomberg. he will be back with bill clinton and musician dave matthews on saturday. >> mitt romney spent his day i wrote -- in roanoke. ending in virginia beach. showing just how important to virginia's to winning the war. >> their schedules are intense. >> you can see why. a policy poll shows president obama leading. with the margin of error and undecided voters, it is a statistical tie. >> we what is at stake in virginia. the team fighting to win the stage again. >> the president ended his campaign in virginia and kicks off this campaign. it is where he takes his wife for ballantine's -- valentine's. you have the city behind me. >> are you fired up? are you ready to go? >> the chant is the same. >> four more years! >> how do you accomplish that? aside from constant visits. we have had 20 since june. dance with the one who brought you, an age old adage. that is women, young voters, and minorities. >> i do not believe we can
president obama started in nevada. he picked up a big endorsement from new york mayor michael bloomberg. he will be back with bill clinton and musician dave matthews on saturday. >> mitt romney spent his day i wrote -- in roanoke. ending in virginia beach. showing just how important to virginia's to winning the war. >> their schedules are intense. >> you can see why. a policy poll shows president obama leading. with the margin of error and undecided voters, it is a statistical...
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neil: president just won nevada. >> karl rove and decision desk were at odds this evening about what is going to happen in ohio, but barack obama i suggestions would win ohio by twice as many votes at george w. bush did, winning 300,000 vote victory in ohio. and. neil: no automatic anything? >> no, he will be outside. they will never open the provisionals. neil: it looks leaser than that right now. >> but here is what is going on, in ohio, it is two states, a northern democratic state, and a southern republican state. we got the vote in the south by and large, in the north. mitt romney will lose big there. neil: what happened? >> well, i think simplest way to explain ohio, is that starting in april, barack obama ran millions of dollars a month in very negative attack ads to mitt romney's character, his bank accounts, who he is, they took all those months, while romney was trying it get going, they blew up his character in the state, they put a very specific plan, that is block romney in ohio, as lou said before, it went unanswered for a long time. so that attitude may not have harden
neil: president just won nevada. >> karl rove and decision desk were at odds this evening about what is going to happen in ohio, but barack obama i suggestions would win ohio by twice as many votes at george w. bush did, winning 300,000 vote victory in ohio. and. neil: no automatic anything? >> no, he will be outside. they will never open the provisionals. neil: it looks leaser than that right now. >> but here is what is going on, in ohio, it is two states, a northern...
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>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just today, so give him wisconsin, iowa, and the state of ohio, he's at 237. so on the remaining map here you see these strategies in the final moments now and where they pick and where they go and the reasons why. say the president were to pick pennsylvania, he's at 255. and so now at this moment based on this scenario and all the polling we have seen maybe he takes michigan. that would be enough to get him to 271. >> this shows the centrality of ohio. i don't think he's going to carry ohio. i've been food link on th7,000 democ
>> wisconsin or nevada. i know that nevada is going to be very close, the democrats have got even about the base number that they need for a lead in early voting, but republican enthusiasm as am in the cow counties is high. it's going to be a narrow victory for either side. i think the most likely is nevada and wisconsin. bill: what is the likely scenario for the president? he's going to three different states today. he's at 201, okay. so if he were to go to wisconsin, ohio, and iowa just...
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, was out on the campaign trail the first time this, we rallying in wisconsin before heading off to nevada and colorado. >> governor romney has been using all of the talent as a salesman to dress up those very same policies that failed our country so badly. the same policies we have been cleaning up after the past four years. >> and we came up with an idea last week, which is he's going to create the department of business. i, i don't think adding a new chair in his new cabinet will help to add millions of jobs on main street. i -- >> reporter: it's completely back to normal, though. the president and governor romney are mixing in portions of the stump speeches with requests to ask people to donate to hurricane relief. some of the organizations, they have asked people to contribute to are like the american red cross and the salvation army. >> tom fitzgerald tonight. >>> voters in virginia being asked to choose a new senator to replace webb. tim kaine asked how he differs from george all own energy. >> the difference is i support alternatives and he does not. he radicules wind and solar and
, was out on the campaign trail the first time this, we rallying in wisconsin before heading off to nevada and colorado. >> governor romney has been using all of the talent as a salesman to dress up those very same policies that failed our country so badly. the same policies we have been cleaning up after the past four years. >> and we came up with an idea last week, which is he's going to create the department of business. i, i don't think adding a new chair in his new cabinet will...
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Nov 6, 2012
11/12
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we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i think a lot of us, we're sort of victims of 2004. before 2004 we were all more convinced of the challenger incumbent rule. that somehow challengers always got the undecided and then a tie goes to the challenger. then you're happened when bush won frankly as many of the undecided as he did. then you'd have to go back to '76 the last time the person with momentum lost at the end. lost the popular vote. that was ford. ford had the momentum but carter won in the end. even gore, he had the last-second momentum. he did win the popular vote. having the momentum has it in the
we're going to win nevada. we're going to win new hampshire. i think we have an even chance of winning virginia and florida. so it could be a big win. and it also could be close. >> check those numbers, what do you make of those states? is that a good list? >> i think the ceiling is somewhere 300, 303 if you want to be exact the numbers i've done. if you throw in north carolina it could be 318 max. that's possible. they could all be 51, 49 at the end of the day. i do want to say i...
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recovery here across nevada is spotty at best. the best number, though, we have heard while here is that the price of houses has gone up by 1% in the last month. it's the first time that number has risen since 2007. miguel marquez, cnn, las vegas. >>> we'll know after tuesday whether nevada's tough economy becomes a factor in the presidential race. victor? >>> just as nail biting as the presidential election, the balance of power of congress is also one to watch this election season, specifically the senate. right now democrats hold the majority in the senate. but they don't hold it by much. 51 seats to 47 seats for republicans. there are two independents who usually with the democrats. this election 33 seats up for grabs and the democrats are fighting to keep most of them. now, this morning, a look at e the, some of the closely contested races that could tip the scale either way. okay, let's go to, first, massachusetts. with a hotly contested race between republican scott brown and his democratic challenger elizabeth warner. the
recovery here across nevada is spotty at best. the best number, though, we have heard while here is that the price of houses has gone up by 1% in the last month. it's the first time that number has risen since 2007. miguel marquez, cnn, las vegas. >>> we'll know after tuesday whether nevada's tough economy becomes a factor in the presidential race. victor? >>> just as nail biting as the presidential election, the balance of power of congress is also one to watch this election...
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eva longoria in nevada. sheila e. she was banging on the drums. we're told on monday he will be in battleground states with jay-z and bruce springstein. you talked about david axelrod saying that are not going to lose michigan and not losing minnesota, not losing pennsylvania. if they do, he will shave off his mustache. new information on the shaving front. today, jay carney showed up to work on air force one without shaving says he is not going to shave between now and election day. superstition. he thinks it will help the president win re-election. we know jay carney will shave after election day. will david axelrod shave after election day? it may help us learn whether or not mr. romney will win or the president will win. >> dana: thank you. good thing when i was press secretary i didn't have such a rule. charming. >> reporter: that is a good thing. >> dana: thanks, ed. god, that is weird. bob, fox news poll came out dead heat, 46-vi. what do you think? >> bob: nationally, most of the polls are starting to converge in a dead heat. below 50%. ye
eva longoria in nevada. sheila e. she was banging on the drums. we're told on monday he will be in battleground states with jay-z and bruce springstein. you talked about david axelrod saying that are not going to lose michigan and not losing minnesota, not losing pennsylvania. if they do, he will shave off his mustache. new information on the shaving front. today, jay carney showed up to work on air force one without shaving says he is not going to shave between now and election day....
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all this talkwas about ohio, florida, and even nevada, and california plays a prominent role, but that made it that much more exciting here. a lot of these sponsorshave been on the phone bank making those phone calling to voters telling them to vote, and that made ai difference >> we'll check back in a little while, joe. thanks frmg you cansee the tears of joy. we'll goto the republicans watching this ingnight's election >> we pretty much have an empty room, and they're dishartd by the obama victory. some say they are blamg themselves and are not true reforms and many are blaming romney romney >> they don't let people understand that lower tax rates are a good thing, that they ludicrously allowed obama to win that election >> i knew there was an issue when ohio was an issue. weneeded ohio to win this great >> do you think the republicans lost this or the democrats won this >> -- >> there will be increase in taxes and also new regulation, and frank tli they're saying this is going to leave open the door for congressional -- he pr indicted in two years we're going to have a republican go
all this talkwas about ohio, florida, and even nevada, and california plays a prominent role, but that made it that much more exciting here. a lot of these sponsorshave been on the phone bank making those phone calling to voters telling them to vote, and that made ai difference >> we'll check back in a little while, joe. thanks frmg you cansee the tears of joy. we'll goto the republicans watching this ingnight's election >> we pretty much have an empty room, and they're dishartd by...
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now, after campaigning in wisconsin nevada and colorado yesterday the president had three stops in the battleground state of ohio today. tomorrow the president will appear in manassas with bill clinton and dave matthews. yesterday new york mayor endorsed president obama. >>> his republican rival is making stops in other parts of ohio today. governor mitt romney was in the battleground state of virginia yesterday. this morning rom fee holds a rally in wisconsin, then heads to a couple of campaign events in ohio. >>> one issue in this year's race for president is jobs and later on this morning we'll find out how the economy is doing with the big monthly unemployment report. comes out at 8:30 and economistsesque president-elect it to show a slight rise in the nation's jobless rate. >>> more about the attack in libya. a new time line has surfaced. >>> stocks rise on strong economic data. the dow gained 136, the nasdaq picked up 24 points and japan added more than 100 points overnight. even though european stocks are falling they are still at two-week highs. right now the time is 5:37. we'l
now, after campaigning in wisconsin nevada and colorado yesterday the president had three stops in the battleground state of ohio today. tomorrow the president will appear in manassas with bill clinton and dave matthews. yesterday new york mayor endorsed president obama. >>> his republican rival is making stops in other parts of ohio today. governor mitt romney was in the battleground state of virginia yesterday. this morning rom fee holds a rally in wisconsin, then heads to a couple...
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most pros will tell you, nevada likely to go the president's way. if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. again, if you give them truth serum, which ones are they likely to lose, they put florida high on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia is a must win for governor romney. this is another state where the obama campaign says we are wired on the ground. we can do it. the key will be the northern vir suburbs. for the sake of argument, i know democrats are getting mad at me, i'm going to give it to governor romney. if we do that, he gets florida, virginia, this could shall a decisive state. for the sake of argument, the obama campaign says we have this state. watch what happens tomorrow, especially in evangelical areas. i'm going to this hypothetical to show you how close this would be give it to t
most pros will tell you, nevada likely to go the president's way. if i give him nevada, iowa and wisconsin, 259/206. what does governor romney have to do? he must win the state of florida. tonight the democrats say we think we're still in play. again, if you give them truth serum, which ones are they likely to lose, they put florida high on the list. the obama operation says watch us turn out the vote tomorrow. let's assume it stays with its normal republican dna, we'll keep it there. virginia...
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if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we want to see all of what's going on. the excitement there at obama's campaign headquarters. let's go back to anderson. >> historic moment. you'll want to see that live with your families. let's talk about what john king was just mentioning. extraordinary to think about george w. bush getting 44% of the latino vote. what a difference a couple of years make. >> it wasn't because he spoke broken spanish. it was because he tried. he talked in the correct tone. he tried. i would tell you that mitt romney lost this race in the republican primary. he self-
if you go by the state of nevada, latino 19%. in the state of virginia only 45% but a growing slice of the population in those growing suburbs that matter and the state of florida. 17%. some of those cubans are more conservative. if the republican party doesn't deal with that issue it risks a very dramatic change in the party. >> we're getting ready to hear the president of the united states deliver his victory speech. he's opinion reelebeen reelected term. we'll have live coverage. we...
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like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the break, if you could run the campaign in the last three days, what would you do if you have the reins of the campaign. if you were in charge of the romney campaign, anna, what would you do at this point? >> i think exactly what they are doing. they're having big rallies. showing a great deal of republican unity. they're showing a great deal of momentum. they've got over a hundred of the top republican surrogates out there fanning around the country, going to the swing states. so you've got to get your base out at this point. pretty mu there are very few und
like nevada, like colorado, like florida. so i think they should be very worried when it comes to these battleground states, and even in ohio, where you have 166,000 registered latino voters going out to the polls, and an election this tight, they could absolutely be the deciding factor. i think it's going to be the october surprise of this election. >> i thought we already had one of those. >> early november. >> let me ask you, because we were asking our viewers before the...
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but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney victory. both morris and sabato will be on this program wednesday. again, i cannot make a prediction tonight. it pains pee. i don't like it. but i have to be honest. i can't do it. because even at this late date, some americans could still vote either way. both candidates still have a fighting chance. and that's the memo. next on the run down. the aforementioned carl rove will tell me how tragically wrong i am or something. and then, krauthammer, hume, powers, march will all weighen in n. on the fact tour tomorrow. we'll be right back. >> bill: what will happen in the presidential vote tomorrow. w
but obama looks to have nevada locked up despite the awful unemployment situation in that state. our pal larry sabato teaches at the university of virginia is predicting an obama win, 290 electoral votes to romney's 248 if obama -- if obama is the winner, that tally sounds about right. but carl rove sees it the opposite way. mr. rove will be here in a moment. of course dick morris continues to maintain that romney will win big. carrying pennsylvania and ohio, which would assure a romney...
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where the republican is ahead slightly in the polls but the romney campaign is quietly writing off nevada as a loss meaning a big surge for obama in the state could help berkeley and swell republicans chances of winning the senate keep an eye on it in montana stem a crowd jon tester first republican denny rehberg this is a tossup race that can go either way it's a red state that will go for romney which could help republicans in the senate now in north dakota it's democrat heidi heitkamp first rick berg this is another toss up in a red state the republicans are really hoping to pick up ok indiana. richard murdock first joe donnelly. the incumbent senator republican should've won this race easy but there incumbent senator richard lugar lost his primary to a radical tea partier named richard murdock who like todd akin said unfortunate comments about rape murdoch is now in a tossup race against joe donnelly and if republicans lose this seat it's really their own damn fault all right three more to go and these will go either way first up there's massachusetts this is been a really high profil
where the republican is ahead slightly in the polls but the romney campaign is quietly writing off nevada as a loss meaning a big surge for obama in the state could help berkeley and swell republicans chances of winning the senate keep an eye on it in montana stem a crowd jon tester first republican denny rehberg this is a tossup race that can go either way it's a red state that will go for romney which could help republicans in the senate now in north dakota it's democrat heidi heitkamp first...
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nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada. we talked about foreclosures there. 11.8%, highest in the country. green is where it's been getting better. iowa, for example, 5.2% in iowa. ohio is 7% in ohio. much better than the 8.7% it was when the president took office. so we'll see how this plays out as well. but these are the two things, soledad, that matter most to people. their home and their paycheck. whether you're getting a job and you can pay for the mortgage, whether you're behind on the loan. those are two things over the past four years that have been a real problem in p
nevada really important. look at florida. all those places were good to the president last time around in 2008. it will be interesting to see how that pans out. i want to show you another thing here. i want to take a look at unemployment. this is really kind of a cool thing to look at, too. when you look at this, this is the unemployment change since february 2009. the more orange you see here, that's much worse. the unemployment rate has gotten worse in some of these places including nevada....
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nevada, 65% of the electorate is white. but 18% of the electorate latinos, up from 15% four years ago, a growing dynamic, growing diversity. helps president obama. a long-term problems for the republican party and more of this as we go across the country. essentially an even divide. slightly more democrats than republicans and a third of the state describing themselves as independents. when you ask both candidates because of the latino vote, even republicans, they assume will go blue. iowa could be much more contested battle
nevada, 65% of the electorate is white. but 18% of the electorate latinos, up from 15% four years ago, a growing dynamic, growing diversity. helps president obama. a long-term problems for the republican party and more of this as we go across the country. essentially an even divide. slightly more democrats than republicans and a third of the state describing themselves as independents. when you ask both candidates because of the latino vote, even republicans, they assume will go blue. iowa...
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let's say florida and michigan and ohio and nevada and the list goes on. >> what are the chances of the sportscaster guy asking him a tough fema question on monday if he doesn't? >> i would say near zero. and the tax return questions i guess, he is probably not going to get from the sportscaster. >> it is the place to go. it is the place where you can have a simulation of an inner view without getting any of the questions. when you build a campaign on distraction it becomes more difficult. it is not new that the politicians try to control the encounters. what we have learned though, he does it more often with more severity than anyone else. there is a pool and that is a group of reporters that go to everything. and they issue pool reports as you well know from your time in politics. mitt romney tried to cut reporters in the pool out of covering his fundraisers. there was such disastrous push back from the press that they had to walk that back. what was that about? it was weird. no republican had tried to do that. now, when they see the types of things that they said. it is wrong. >> the
let's say florida and michigan and ohio and nevada and the list goes on. >> what are the chances of the sportscaster guy asking him a tough fema question on monday if he doesn't? >> i would say near zero. and the tax return questions i guess, he is probably not going to get from the sportscaster. >> it is the place to go. it is the place where you can have a simulation of an inner view without getting any of the questions. when you build a campaign on distraction it becomes...
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nevada at 15.1%. colorado 15.7%. swing states where you're winning by a margin of 3-1 this can really shift those tightly tightly-fought states. answer for me, why was mitt romney so tone deaf on the issue of immigration? >> well, you know, it's not just mitt romney. it's the republican party really. when they had the tea party waved and most of the moderate republicans were swept out of office because they lost primary elections to these very extreme tea party candidate tea party candidates are completely wrong on the issue of immigration and they're amped up with their rhetoric. i think the republican party has a lot of soul searching to do. here in the state of california republican registration has dipped below 30% for the first tame. they're quickly becoming a permanent minority party. they've completely missed the boat on immigration. we're a country of immigrants. the majority of people regardless of their political affiliation think that immigration is good for this country, and it revitalizes this country. m
nevada at 15.1%. colorado 15.7%. swing states where you're winning by a margin of 3-1 this can really shift those tightly tightly-fought states. answer for me, why was mitt romney so tone deaf on the issue of immigration? >> well, you know, it's not just mitt romney. it's the republican party really. when they had the tea party waved and most of the moderate republicans were swept out of office because they lost primary elections to these very extreme tea party candidate tea party...
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nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week rasmussen had romney up by 2. and nbc has the president up by 6 points. got all that? joining us now from boston, david. he directs polling. >> he want to run it down from your point of view. you have canvassed the whole country, know what's going on. ohio, how do you see it? >> i see it really close. if you look at the last four polls, it's one point. 1 through 8 the poll was average four to five points. what we look at is the head-to-head number. the last three consecutive polls, excluding the two you mentioned were at 48. that's a sign of vulnerability. obviously you have seven ca
nevada, all the polls have the president lead bug it is close. same thing in wisconsin. president is ahead in all the polls except rasmussen, who has the race tied at 49. florida, all the policy out this week has obama leading romney, but very close. and in the commonwealth, up 5 points but cbs has the president up by two. north carolina, rasmussen has romney up by 6 and survey usa has the governor leading by 5. new hampshire, new england college has obama up by 6 over mitt romney. last week...
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nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they haven't had the $200 million of negative ads. so romney's numbers are better there in a lot of the states where they have trench warfare. >> people may not believe this, but there is a morning after this race, tom and savannah. and what happens in washington after that? david brooks in his column writes about the fiscal cliff which happens at the end of this year, big tax increases and also cuts. here's what he writes. the bottom line is this. if obama wins, he'll probably get small bore stacis. if romney wins, we are more likely to get re
nevada may well be one that we don't carry. what's interesting about ohio, that state does not have a large minority vote. it's about 85% white. if romney were getting the same white vote there he gets in virginia, where he is tied and the romney campaign is nervous, he would be winning ohio. that's also the story in pennsylvania. one quick footnote on pennsylvania. one reason the romney guys like it, even though historically it is more democratic, is there has not been a campaign there. they...
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i think it will bes hispanic states near me, colorado, nevada. >> i will take the florida. >> let me ask you one last question do you think reagan said with fewer americans working when they took office 1-6 in poverty 17 million more of americans on today stamps. 6 trillion in debt. are you going to say we were better off than a year ago. the president has created 5.7 nobs after a month mt. 800,000 emotion of god. >> i thing you would use the receipt tick of resing voting. sploetling. i appreciate you being hasn'ter, i hough [ dennis ] it only took two minutes for this town to be destroyed. to a little girl who lived through it, this is more than a teddy bear. it's a step towards normal. it's why allstate catastrophe teams not only have hot coffee and help for grownups... they've also handed out more than twelve thousand teddy bears to kids. people come first... everything else is second. that's allstate's stand. are you in good hands? huh? you're not my dad ahhhhh!!! hey honey, back feels better, little dancing tonight, you and me? hey boy, you wanna go for a walk? dr. scholl's pro
i think it will bes hispanic states near me, colorado, nevada. >> i will take the florida. >> let me ask you one last question do you think reagan said with fewer americans working when they took office 1-6 in poverty 17 million more of americans on today stamps. 6 trillion in debt. are you going to say we were better off than a year ago. the president has created 5.7 nobs after a month mt. 800,000 emotion of god. >> i thing you would use the receipt tick of resing voting....
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. >> schieffer: my sense is we'll be waiting to see what in fact naps nevada and especially in colorado. >> i agree with you. once we get ohio, once we know ohio, then we've got to look out west. they need something else to go over the top. but we'll also be there late because of the senate. i don't expect we'll know senate control until after we see north dakota, and montan as well. >> arizona. >> and arizona as well. we've got a late and i think exciting night ahead. but some of these, especially all of these states, too, that we've been talking about, their counts are going to come in over the course of a couple of hours. so we'll have some suspense building there. >> schieffer: let's take a little break here and we'll come back and talk about this some more. we'll be back in a minute. they have teachers... ...with a deeper knowledge of their subjects. as a result, their students achieve at a higher level. let's develop more stars in education. let's invest in our teachers... ...so they can inspire our students. let's solve this. >> schieffer: this race has been close from the very b
. >> schieffer: my sense is we'll be waiting to see what in fact naps nevada and especially in colorado. >> i agree with you. once we get ohio, once we know ohio, then we've got to look out west. they need something else to go over the top. but we'll also be there late because of the senate. i don't expect we'll know senate control until after we see north dakota, and montan as well. >> arizona. >> and arizona as well. we've got a late and i think exciting night ahead....
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especially in nevada. nevada's six electoral votes are looking more important than ever and the race there, of course, all the races around the country, tight, very tight. this american research group poll has obama edging romney 49% to 487%. people in nevada say they are starting to see signs of recovery, believe it or not. cnn's miguel marquez picks up the story from high above, high above the las vegas skyline. >> reporter: here we are, top of the stratosphere in vegas, baby. as this county goes, so goes nevada! in a city that fell harder and faster than just about any place in the country. this better be a very close election. the stratosphere, like all vegas, suffered the worst of the recession. at some point you had to make a decision, either go big or stay home and shut down. >> that was sort of the thesis, yeah. >> reporter: the vegas landmark sunk more than $20 million into upgrades including a new restaurant, oh, and that sky jump thing. most importantly, more than 100 new jobs. do you think las
especially in nevada. nevada's six electoral votes are looking more important than ever and the race there, of course, all the races around the country, tight, very tight. this american research group poll has obama edging romney 49% to 487%. people in nevada say they are starting to see signs of recovery, believe it or not. cnn's miguel marquez picks up the story from high above, high above the las vegas skyline. >> reporter: here we are, top of the stratosphere in vegas, baby. as this...
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but the critical swing states from nevada to wisconsin to florida and others in between will determine who occupies the white house next january. throughout the election, neither candidate has managed to take a commanding lead in the polls. over the past few weeks, it tightened up. so it makes for what could be a very long election night. in chicago, tory dunnan now back to you. >> voting is underway in the first presidential election results are in for those living in dictionville notch new hampshire. for the first time in the small town's history there was a tie. president obama and his republican rival governor romney each received 5 votes. middle of the night voting has been a tradition in dictionville notch since 1960. another town also voted at midnight obama beat romney in that location the results 23-9. >>> the people in dictionville notch may not be able to pick awinner but kids in baltimore had no problem deciding. more than a thousand students cast ballots and the president won by a landslide. students in hamilton conducted a mock election as part of the voters of tomorrow i
but the critical swing states from nevada to wisconsin to florida and others in between will determine who occupies the white house next january. throughout the election, neither candidate has managed to take a commanding lead in the polls. over the past few weeks, it tightened up. so it makes for what could be a very long election night. in chicago, tory dunnan now back to you. >> voting is underway in the first presidential election results are in for those living in dictionville notch...
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the president in states like ohio, or seen as a couple point lead in tricky states like wisconsin and nevada and places like that, and yet when you look at the national numbers, you see a much more murky situation. what's the difference? >> well, the difference is that it turns out that white working class voters in the midwest and the industrial midwest are different from white working class voters in the south. with jim messina and stagg about why they don't care about national numbers. the first thing if you look at the deep south, and appalachia, places where there's a lot of resistance to the president, he's polling below -- he's polling 25%, 30%, the -- those really, really red states, in the blue states, the president like where he's far ahead he's ahead by 10 or 12 points and in the red states by 30 or 40 points. chris: the red states, it's like a ballooning up of the national number. but it doesn't really hurt him electorally. >> that's the point. the national polling organizations like gallup, especially, which had romney ahead by five or circumstances points before they had -- six
the president in states like ohio, or seen as a couple point lead in tricky states like wisconsin and nevada and places like that, and yet when you look at the national numbers, you see a much more murky situation. what's the difference? >> well, the difference is that it turns out that white working class voters in the midwest and the industrial midwest are different from white working class voters in the south. with jim messina and stagg about why they don't care about national numbers....
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nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm going to slide this little barrier. the darker the colors, the higher the latino population. nevada, colorado, new mexico, florida, you can find other places as well up into the midwest. the republicans don't solve this problem. this is a crisis for the republican party. >> it certainly is. we're going to talk more about texas in a bit because i see that orange there. what about women? i know this war on women fight, a lot of people wondered whether it would be effective, but when it actually happened -- >> in a word, yes. >> romney did not make up that gap again. >> play the exit polls. natio
nevada used to be a swing state. 71% again in the state of nevada. one of the key battlegrounds. let me give you one more example. colorado. once a red state, now a purple state. latino vote, double digits and 75%. 75%. let's look over here. president wins nevada. once a swing state. wins colorado. wins new mexico. this used to be one of the classic swing states in american politics. don't even think about it anymore, right? and he's probably going to win florida. why do i circle those? i'm...
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he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte. he's been a campaigner. and he's been a good friend and increasingly somebody that the president relies on. if the president wins re-election, i'm convinced bill clinton's next job will be to help the president sell a budget deal to democrats who may not want to go along. that's almost a tougher job than getting the president re-elected. >> are you worried about the voter suppression that is taking place in ohio? it seems to be much more intense in ohio. much more organized, county to county, it looks like they have really done a job. the numbers are down. for instanc
he's not going back to nevada. he's not going back to iowa. and he's not going to pennsylvania again. which is significant because the obama campaign in the end didn't take the bait on pennsylvania. they are sending bill clinton to pennsylvania, to philadelphia, tomorrow, but they're not sending the president there. >> what hasn't bill clinton done for barack obama? >> well, he was obama's great explainer. he was like the obama whisperer at the democratic convention in charlotte....
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you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans, reminding them to get out and vote tomorrow. >> as you call them, what's going to show up is the polling place number. >> reporter: they say they've also made calls to battleground states such as florida, ohio, and virginia. their target? republicans who don't always vote. >> it just reinforces them that somebody is out there trying to do something. that agree with the same things that they agree with. >> we have volunteers going out to the polling places. >> reporter: talking to voters about polling places tomorrow, statewide initiatives and local races. she says there is excitement that republica
you're in nevada. >> reporter: the mood and message differ from four years ago. hope and change now translate to stay the course, and finishing what the president started. volunteers say the work is harder this time. >> we have to do our homework and we have to know what the facts are, and to be able to share that with other people. >> tomorrow is election day. your vote is critical. >> reporter: volunteers used a different strategy. they focused on fellow republicans,...
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places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big story after election day. >> if romney loses, they will look at the recriminations -- >> if he loses. >> what would be the debate in the democratic party if the president of the united states were to lose? >> when either side loses, liberals say the democrat wasn't liberal enough. conservatives always say he wasn't conservative enough. i think a lot of democrats would say, one, that obama missed his opportunity in 2009, wasn't aggressive enough on the economy, shouldn't have pursued health care. i don't know if that's the correct analysis. but a lot of people
places like nevada a little bit in northern virginia, florida. i think one of the big stories when this is all over is going to be that demographic story, how much this country's changed in the last four years. and if romney loses, i think a big debate in the republican party is going to be over how they win the white house again, given their -- up until now anyway, their troubles with the hispanic community. i think romney's numbers among hispanics and other minorities are going to be a big...